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Intro to Probabilistic Design

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09:30
conference time (CEST, Berlin)
Training: Introduction to Probabilistic Analysis and Design
25/10/2021 09:30 conference time (CEST, Berlin)
Room: C
D. Riha (Southwest Research Institute, USA)
D. Riha (Southwest Research Institute, USA)
This course is intended for engineers, scientists, and technical managers who are concerned with managing uncertainty and risk of structural, mechanical and other engineering systems, and desire to become familiar with the background and the use of state-of-the-art probabilistic methods. The four hour course will include the motivation, methods, and tools for probabilistic analysis and design. These methods are general and used to design for reliability and systematically account for variations and uncertainties in engineering systems. Probabilistic analysis and design approaches allow the analyst to quantify the reliability and identify the important variables in their design. These results provide decision makers additional information for decisions related to issues such as certification, fleet management, and condition based maintenance. The course will use examples relevant to aircraft airworthiness and sustainment such as determining the reliability for crack growth in a structural component for a specified design life. Selected design problems will be used to illustrate the technology.
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